Friday 03 Apr 2020 | 00:19 | SYDNEY
Friday 03 Apr 2020 | 00:19 | SYDNEY

End of year lists


Sam Roggeveen


11 December 2008 08:32

Here's a good set of Top Ten lists from Time Magazine, but here's one that really bugs me: Foreign Policy's Top Ten Worst Predictions for 2008.

A personal anecdote to illustrate my displeasure: recently, two members of my family drove down to their local multiplex to catch Quantum of Solace. It was proving difficult to find parking, so family member A suggested to family member B that B get out to buy tickets while A searched for parking. After all, the car park was busy, so the cinema might be too. 

B laughed off this suggestion, and he turned out to be right: when A and B eventually got into the cinema, they found precisely one other patron in there. Much to A's frustration, B recounted this story with some glee to the rest of the family. But I'm with A. It was a smart suggestion based on the evidence available.

And that's a long-winded way of saying that it is ridiculous to mock people just for making bad predictions. They should certainly be criticised if they make them in bad faith or if they ignore evidence, but just being wrong seems to me no crime at all.