Wednesday 06 Oct 2021 | 10:37 | SYDNEY
Wednesday 06 Oct 2021 | 10:37 | SYDNEY

5-minute Lowy Lunch: Afghanistan


Sam Roggeveen


20 April 2012 09:00

Two points I take away from this interesting interview with Afghanistan's Ambassador to Australia Nasir Andisha, who was our guest speaker at the Lowy Institute on Wednesday (full audio of the speech here).

The first is a rather stark warning of a flood of Afghan refugees to Australia should Afghanistan once again succumb to full-scale civil disorder and conflict.

The second is Afghanistan's strategic requirement for armed forces large enough so that, should the Taliban ever amass in an attempt to overthrow the current government, it could be defeated. The subtext seems to be that a powerful conventional army is a deterrent to Taliban escalation; even if the Afghan Government can't defeat the Taliban as an insurgent force, the Taliban can't transform its insurgency into a more conventional armed assault on the centre of power.