Wednesday 13 Oct 2021 | 02:38 | SYDNEY
People | experts Rory Medcalf
Nonresident Fellow
Lowy Institute
Areas of ExpertiseAsia-Pacific/Indo-Pacific strategic order; India and the Indian Ocean; maritime security; nuclear arms control


If Australian media attention is any guide, anyone would think that Imran Khan is the head of the popular opposition to Musharraf’s dictatorship. But there is something crucial missing from the breathless media coverage of the escapades of the former-Pakistan-cricket-captain-turned-gallantly-

Downer last sling?

In what could well be his swansong abroad as Australian foreign minister, Alexander Downer is sacrificing some of his fast-diminishing electioneering time to represent Prime Minister John Howard at the East Asia Summit (EAS), being held today in Singapore.  This is welcome news. Putting

More on China military transparency

Sam Roggeveen is right to put a spotlight on the US fixation with the ‘transparency’ of China’s military build-up. China’s military rise unsettles many countries. With new missiles, aircraft and ships conspicuously entering service, Beijing surely expects nobody to buy its line that budget

Musharraf in the raw

President-General Musharraf’s midnight declaration of a state of emergency in Pakistan lays bare the nature of his rule. Since his coup in 1999, he has ruled by dint of his position as head of the army, albeit aided by semi-democratic fixes and facades where he could find them. Now there is no

Australia strategic dilemmas

No matter who wins the 24 November Federal election, the next Australian government will face dilemmas in international policy, especially in defence and security. In this article published in the UK Royal United Services Institute's Newsbrief, International Security Program Director Rory Medcalf

Defence and security

The Lowy Institute Voters' Guide to International Policy addresses the sort of questions we should be putting to our political leaders.Section 4 of the Guide, 'Defence and Security', by Rory Medcalf, Program Director International Security, is available here

Defensive positions

In this article in The Bulletin magazine, International Security Program Director Rory Medcalf assesses that a militarised Asia could prove a boon or a bane in an age of climate refugees.The Bulletin, 9 October 2007, p. 27

Beyond the Paramount Area

In this paper for a pre-election edition of the Kokoda Foundation journal Security Challenges, International Security Program Director Rory Medcalf outlines some of the possible difficult decisions ahead for Australian security policy in regions beyond the neighbourhood. 

Defence update hidden depths

In an opinion piece for the Australian Financial Review, International Security Program Director Rory Medcalf looks at the 2007 Defence Update. He describes it as a welcome effort to explain Australia's growing military power, but notes that it also carries messages and omissions which could raise

Wednesday Lunch at Lowy - Rory Medcalf presentation

At the Wednesday Lunch at Lowy on 20 June, Rory Medcalf, Program Director International Security, assessed the likely impacts of a powerful India on Australia's future strategic environment. He drew upon his experience as a diplomat in New Delhi to consider the sources of India's new confidence as

Hardly a war to end war

The Lowy Institute's Program Director for International Security, Rory Medcalf, looks at how the Iraq conflict might affect Western countries' future decisions on the use of force. He argues that this impact will be less straightforward than the war's magnitude as a US strategic error might suggest

Uranium thorn

This opinion piece by Rory Medcalf in the Times of India is a version of an article previously published in the Australian Financial Review. It argues that Australia should try to reconcile its uranium and non-proliferation policies with India's rise.Times of India, 20 April 2007

Uranium and India: keep options open

Rory Medcalf, Program Director, International Security, writes in this opinion piece that Australia should try to reconcile its uranium and non-proliferation policies with India's rise.Australian Financial Review, 4 April 2007

The changing Asia-Pacific security web

In this opinion piece in The Age, Rory Medcalf, Program Director for International Security, writes on the wider regional significance of the new Japan-Australia Joint Declaration on Security Co-operation. He argues that there are ways in which closer Australia-Japan security dialogue might end up