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Publications

Beyond Arafat

Anthony Bubalo, research fellow, argues that Yasser Arafat's death could have longer term positive implications for both Palestinian political reform and efforts to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, but in the short term the impact will be more limited. Arafat's immediate successors will not

Arafat death wouldn't solve main problem

Anthony Bubalo, research fellow at the Lowy Institute, assesses the implications of Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat's looming death on both the internal Palestinian situation and efforts to end the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.Australian Financial Review, 8 November 2004, p. 63

Supporting democratic Indonesia: British and European options

Writing for the Foreign Policy Centre in London, Malcolm Cook, program director Asia & the Pacific, looks at the biggest challenges facing Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono's new administration. SBY's impressive win raised expectations, but opposition control of the parliament (DPR) has already stirred

Military might is right, whoever is elected

Dr Michael Fullilove, program director, global issues discusses the foreign policy implications of the 2 November presidential election, for the world and Australia. Sydney Morning Herald, 27 October 2004, p. 13

Bush is from Mars, Kerry is from Mars too

Although there are significant differences in style and substance between George Bush and John Kerry, the similarities in foreign policy terms are more striking than is sometimes understood. From Australia's perspective, the fundamentals of our relationship with the US are excellent and the alliance

Book review: Regionalism in the New Asia-Pacific Order

Dr Alan Dupont reviews Regionalism in the New Asia-Pacific Order: The Political Economy of the Asia-Pacific Region, Volume II, by Joseph Camilleri (Cheltenham, Edward Elgar, 2003).This review was published in Global Change, Peace & Security, Volume 16, Number 3, October 2004

Disarmament and the United Nations

The prospect of weapons of mass destruction falling into the hands of terrorists has given a new urgency to international efforts to control nuclear, chemical and biological weapons proliferation. The result so far has been mixed at best, as Australia's Ambassador to the Conference on Disarmament in

Transpacific trade imbalances: causes and cures

This Issues Brief by Professor Warwick McKibbin and others explores the causes of the transpacific trade imbalances using an empirical global model. It also evaluates the impact of various policies to reduce these imbalances.  

G7 should step aside for more representative body

Mark Thirlwell and Malcolm Cook argue that China's recent inclusion in the G7 should not be a one-off expansion. It should be the first step in the replacement of the G7 by its more representative progeny, the G20, which includes Australia.Australian Financial Review, 29 September 2004, p.63

Step back and take a look at the smaller picture

Anthony Bubalo and Michael Fullilove argue that Australia's response to the Jakarta embassy bombing should not emphasise global considerations at the expense of regional factors.Sydney Morning Herald, 11 September 2004

Parallel worlds

Depending on the way we look at the world at present it is possible to see the international system as unipolar or multipolar, as intensely inter-connected or deeply divided. Each of these angles of view reveals important truths about the global environment.Allan Gyngell looks at the lessons

A currency union is not what Asia needs

Stephen Grenville writes on possible models for economic integration in Asia, and suggests that convergence of economic rules would be more useful than currency union. Financial Times, 30 August 2004, p. 17

Golden straitjackets can chafe

Trade agreements, such as the Australia-US Free Trade Agreement, are usually evaluated in terms of their success in reducing tariffs and other barriers to market access. These negotiations, however, present a more important opportunity - to improve the rules which govern international economic

The Beijing 2008 Olympic Games: China in the limelight

John Bowan, a former senior Australian foreign policy official, and consultant to Beijing's successful Olympic bid, examines how Beijing and China won the 2008 Games and what this will mean for China and its position in the world.The 2008 Olympics will open China to unprecedented international

A la carte sovereignty: Australia transforming borders

On Friday 28 May 2004, the Lowy Institute organised the inaugural New Voices Conference which examined the changing nature of Australia's borders across a wide range of issues. The conference brought together, in an informal and interactive forum, a small group of early-career people from a wide

The strategic implications for Australia of an FTA with China

In this paper Alan Dupont argues that the proposed Free Trade Agreement with China, if consummated, will be highly symbolic of the growing interdependence between Australia and China, underpinning the development of a qualitatively different political and strategic relationship from that of the past

Greenspan is running out of buttons to push

Peter Hartcher, Visiting Fellow at the Lowy Institute, writes in the Financial Times on Alan Greenspan, interest rates and the US economy. He argues that recent feeble job data raise the crucial question of whether America's economic recovery can bear the strain of anything even approaching a

Pointing in the right direction

Malcolm Cook, Program Director Asia and the Pacific, reviews Mark Berger's book The Battle for Asia: From Decolonization to Globalization. Australian Book Review, August 2004, pp. 36-37

Lesson in the limits of power

Lowy Institute Visiting Fellow Owen Harries suggests that there are parallels between the Iraq war and the Suez crisis of 1956, and that the latter offers useful pointers on superpower behaviour. The Australian, Monday 2 August 2004, p. 9

The McKibbin-Wilcoxen Blueprint for climate policy

Professor Warwick McKibbin and Visiting Fellow Professor Peter Wilcoxen from Syracuse University outline various approaches to climate change policy. They argue that the issue of taking action against climate change should be separated from the issue of whether Australia should ratify the Kyoto

Flaws in climate-change research need fixing

Professor McKibbin, drawing on a recent Lowy Institute Working Paper, argues that there are a number of problems in the Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change, Special Report on Emission Scenarios that forms the basis of many longer term climate predictions

Taiwanese nationalism is on the march

Malcolm Cook and Craig Meer argue that political change in Taiwan is undermining the cross-strait status quo, meaning that all interested parties have to seriously ponder afresh new ways of avoiding a disastrous conflict.  This article was published in The Diplomat, June-July 2004, p. 14

We can get a front-row global seat

In an opinion article in The Australian, Allan Gyngell argues that suggestions from the Canadian Prime Minister for a new international leaders' forum bringing together developed and developing countries from the Group of 20 could have important implications for Australia. It is a debate in which we

Putting terrorism into perspective

In an opinion article Anthony Bubalo welcomes the Federal Government's release of a white paper on terrorism as an important contribution to the public discussion of this critical issue. That discussion needs, however, to go beyond the parameters of the white paper to a consideration of where

The world viewed from Wall Street

Dr Stephen Grenville, Visiting Fellow at the Lowy Institute, finds lessons for Australia in a new book from ex-US treasury secretary Robert Rubin. Originally published in the Australian, 2 June 2004, p. 24, as "Rubinomics explained

Speaking up

Michael Fullilove reviews The Power of Speech: Australian Prime Ministers Defining the National Image, by James Curran Australian Book Review, June/July 2004, pp.16-17

In friendship sphere

There are countries that have so much in common they should form a closer association. Michael Fullilove canvasses the arguments. The Weekend Australian, 29 May 2004, p. 31

Protocol is a waste of energy

Warwick McKibbin argues in an opinion piece that Russia's apparent embrace of the Kyoto Protocol is not a magic-bullet solution to environment problems. Australian Financial Review, 25 May 2004

Long run projections for climate change scenarios

The prediction of future temperature increases depends critically on the projections of future greenhouse gas emissions. Yet there is a vigorous debate about how these projections should be undertaken and how reasonable is the approach of the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) published by

Climate change policy for India

While the global environment waits for the world to reach some form of agreement on climate policy, developing countries such as India are entering a phase of higher economic growth. The decisions on investment in energy systems that will be made in India in coming years will have an important

Monsters and hegemons

Allan Gyngell reviews a new book by Owen Harries, Benign or imperial: reflections on American hegemony. Australian Book Review, Issue No. 260, April 2004

And now for the good news

Allan Gyngell urges pessimists about the current international outlook to regain some historical perspective. In fact, the story coming out of Asia is very positive. Versions of this article were published in The Age, 28 April 2004 and the Sydney Morning Herald, 29 April 2004

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