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Publications

How awful is this threat?

Leaders talk about terrorism in a heroic way because that's what the public wants, writes Lowy Institute Visiting Fellow Hugh White. The Age, 1 September 2005, p. 15

The global impact of demographic change

This paper examines the implications of the major demographic transition currently under way and over the next 80 years for Japan, the United States, the rest of the OECD, and developing regions. 

Times Literary Supplement Review

Dr Michael Fullilove of the Lowy Institute reviewed Ruth Balint's book, Troubled Waters: Borders, Boundaries and Possession in the Timor Sea, for the Times Literary Supplement. Times Literary Supplement, 12 August 2005

Australia response to HIV-AIDS 1982-2005

This paper was presented by Bill Bowtell, a senior research associate at the Lowy Institute, at the 'Commemorative Symposium on the Fifth Anniversary of the Okinawa Summit: East Asian Regional Response to HIV/AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria' held in Tokyo on June 30, 2005. A revised version of the

The day after

Anthony Bubalo considers what is at stake in this week's unilateral withdrawal by Israel from Gaza and parts of the West Bank, and ways that the international community, including Australia, can help make the process a success.An edited extract of the following piece appeared in the Australian

The changing geography of international trade

In this presentation - originally delivered as a lecture at the Asia Pacific School of Economics and Government (APSEG) at the Australian National University - Mark Thirlwell looks at the economic rise of China and India and some of the associated consequences for the international trading

Climate pact a good beginning

In this opinion piece, Professor Warwick McKibbin argues that the new emission partnership could be a sensible step. Australian Financial Review, 1 August 2005, p. 63

China starts to throw its weight around

Dr Michael Fullilove and Jessica Dodson write in this opinion piece that Asia's waking giant is taking a more active role at the United Nations.A version of this article appeared in the Sydney Morning Herald, 1 August 2005, p. 9

Place at the table essential

Dr Alan Dupont, Senior Fellow for International Security at the Lowy Institute, writes in this opinion piece that at last Australia is fully engaged with Southeast Asia. The Australian, 29 July 2005, p. 15

Costs of a needless war

Professor Owen Harries, Visiting Fellow at the Lowy Institute, argues that the United States has devalued its military standing by going to war in Iraq, and that its overwhelming military power is most effective as a deterrent rather than as an active force for change.  Tha Australian, 18

Shaking the world?

A favourite cliché of China watchers has been the Napoleonic aphorism: 'Let China sleep; when she wakes, she will shake the world.' In this paper in the Lowy Institute’s Perspectives series, Mark Thirlwell asks whether a resurgent China is 'shaking' the world economy and reshaping our

The concern is no longer if, but when

Hugh White argues in the Sydney Morning Herald that, in light of the recent resurgence of interest in nuclear power generation, it is more important than ever that efforts be made to discourage states from acquiring nuclear weapons. The Sydney Morning Herald, 7 July 2005, p. 7

Blair front line

In this article, two Lowy Institute analysts examine the implications of the London bombings. Anthony Bubalo and Dr Michael Fullilove, respectively the research fellow and program director for global issues at the Institute, argue that in terms of both explanations for and implications of the

Back in the middle of the pack

Dr Michael Fullilove and Professor Warwick McKibbin of the Lowy Institute argue there are strategic, economic and moral reasons for Australia to do more in the fight against extreme poverty. The Australian, 1 July 2005, p. 17

China re-emergence

In the opening address to the Chinese Economy: Impact on Korea and Australia conference jointly organised by the Lowy Institute and the Australia-Korea Foundation, Dr Geoff Raby, Deputy Secretary in the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, argues that we are witnessing the re-emergence of China

Global demographic change and Japanese macroeconomic performance

The world is in the midst of a significant demographic transition with important implications for the macroeconomic performance of the global economy. This paper summarises the key features of the current and projected future demographic changes that are likely to have macroeconomic effects. It then

Let sit down and make a deal

Stephen Grenville writes in this opinion piece that instead of bullying China over the yuan, international co-ordination holds the answer to international payments imbalances.Australian Financial Review, 6 June 2005, p. 23

Convergence and per capita carbon emissions

In a new Working Paper in International Economics, Professor Warwick McKibbin and Alison Stegman write that assumptions about carbon emissions per person lie behind many future climate projections as well as being the basis of a number of policy proposals. 

Colossus is still the indispensable force

In this opinion piece, Russell Trood, Visiting Fellow at the Lowy Institute, writes that, despite some policy failures, the US offers a beacon of hope for millions around the globe. Australian Financial Review, 21 May 2005, p. 25

PNG must take bitter pill to secure its future

In this opinion piece, Ben Scott, Diplomatic Fellow at the Lowy Institute, writes that Papua New Guinea should compromise its sovereignty in the short term in order to strengthen it in the long term. Australian Financial Review, 23 May 2005, p. 63

China and the international economy

Mark Thirlwell took part in a panel discussion on 18 March marking the launch of the CEDA research report, China in Australia's Future. Mark also contributed the overview chapter, a copy of which is available from the CEDA web site (www.ceda.com.au) along with information about the full report. A

PNG aid more order than law

Australia must try again with Port Moresby, writes Lowy Institute Visiting Fellow Hugh White. But it should offer help, not impose it. Sydney Morning Herald, 18 May 2005, p. 17 

Lowy Institute Conference: Overcoming Constraints in Papua New Guinea

Discussion about Papua New Guinea is too often dominated by fatalistic negativism or impractical calls for far-reaching reform. The Lowy Institute Conference "Overcoming Constraints in Papua New Guinea" took a different approach. We looked at how individuals, groups, corporations and governments are

Living with the giants

In this Viewpoint for TIME Magazine, Allan Gyngell, the Executive Director of the Institute, explores the implications for Australia of China's growing power. He concludes that our success in dealing with China will depend critically on US strategy towards its emerging Asian competitor and China's

Time to push the G20 vision

Malcolm Cook and Mark Thirlwell make the case that Australia and China should take a leading role in renovating the international economic architecture

China and Australia

In this Viewpoint for TIME Magazine, Allan Gyngell, the Executive Director of the Institute, explores the implications for Australia of China's growing power. He concludes that our success in dealing with China will depend critically on US strategy towards its emerging Asian competitor and China's

Neighbours back on track

Dr Alan Dupont writes that Australia's relationship with Asia has changed in fundamental ways. Far from being marginalised in the region, Australia is actually being courted by Asia. Australian Financial Review, 31 March 2005, p. 63

The boom of 1989 - and now

Professor Ross Garnaut delivered the Third Sir Leslie Melville Lecture at the National Museum of Australia, Canberra, on 3 December 2004

Why West should come to Islamist party

Greg Fealy and Anthony Bubalo argue that a fear of Islamist electoral victories should not be an obstacle to the West's support for democratisation in the Middle East or elsewhere in the Muslim World.The Australian, 29 March 2005, p. 11

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