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Publications

The looming conflict over West Papua

In this opinion piece in The Age, Lowy Institute Visiting Fellow Hugh White writes that Indonesia is fearful of Australian support for Papuan independence.The Age, 8 February 2006, p. 17

Taiwan identity challenge

Dr Malcolm Cook recently published an article entitled 'Taiwan's identity crisis' in John Hopkins University's SAIS Review. The article analyses the tensions between Taiwan's uniquely dependent geo-strategic position and its nation-building quest. Taiwan society is differentiating itself from

The world economy in 2006: the view from 2005

Mark Thirlwell asks whether economic events in 2005 hold any lessons for the global economic outlook this year. This is a copy of the presentation he delivered as part of a Lowy Institute seminar held on 1 February looking at the prospects for the world in 2006

Australia’s new security environment

Allan Gyngell, the Executive Director of the Lowy Institute, argues in a speech delivered to the Royal Australian Navy Seapower Conference 2006 on 1 February that Australia’s new security environment has been shaped by two important developments – the rise of China, part of a slow rebalancing of

Wary watch on Hamas victory

Writing in the Brisbane Courier-Mail, Lowy Institute Research Fellow Anthony Bubalo examines whether any positives can be wrought from Hamas' landslide victory in last week's Palestinian elections.Courier-Mail, 30 January 2006, p. 9

Australia new terms of trade

Australia’s terms of trade have changed significantly in recent years. This is true in a technical sense, in that there has been a dramatic run-up in the ratio of export to import prices. But it is also true in a broader sense, in that the terms on which we engage with the rest of the world

PNG: time to start again

Papua New Guinea's failing experiment with democracy needs to be rebuilt from the ground up, writes Ben Scott.The Age, 3 January 2006, p. 9A Lowy Institute Paper by Ben Scott, entitled Re-imagining PNG: Culture, Democracy and Australia's Role, is also available

US alliance in regular need of assessment

In this opinion piece, Dr Peter Edwards writes that our relationship with America should not be taken for granted.The Australian, 29 December 2005, p. 8A Lowy Institute Paper, entitled Permanent Friends? Historical Reflections on the Australian-American Alliance, by Peter Edwards, is also available

Iranian nuclear program the world next hot potato

Despite Iran's claim of not developing weapons, defusing its nuclear ambitions may be the defining item on next year's international policy agenda, suggest Michael Fullilove and Anthony Bubalo in this opinion piece.The Australian, 20 December 2005, p. 12

Khaki reshuffle adds little to military role

In this opinion piece, Hugh White writes on the defence update launched last week by the Prime Minister and the Defence Minister. Sydney Morning Herald, 20 December 2005, p. 13 A version of this opinion piece also appeared in The Age, 20 December 2005, p. 13

Environmental consequences of rising energy use in China

The emergence of China as an economic power has important implications for energy use and environmental outcomes at the local, regional and global levels. China is currently the world's third largest energy producer and the second largest energy consumer. 

Avian influenza

On 7 November the Lowy Institute for International Policy and CARE Australia co-hosted a conference on the International Implications of Avian Influenza. Drawing on the expertise of Australians at senior levels in the government, business, academic, humanitarian and media sectors, the conference

Short-term targets undercut climate policy

Lowy Institute Professorial Fellow Warwick McKibbin writes in this opinion piece that the Kyoto mindset is hampering the quest to reduce greenhouse emissions and adapt to climate change. Australian Financial Review, 30 November 2005, p. 63

We have to bring out the big guns

In this opinion piece, Dr Alan Dupont of the Lowy Institute details expectations of the upcoming 2005 strategic update and suggests that an army with greater firepower will improve national security. The Australian, 29 November 2005, p. 12

A war of ideals adds sting to the never-ending Iraqi tale

James Fallows writes that debate in the US over foreign policy is boiling down to a bitter clash of values. James Fallows is a national correspondent for The Atlantic Monthly, based in Washington. He is in Australia for a conference on Values and Foreign Policy at the Lowy Institute for

The new terms of trade

In this 2005 Lowy Institute Paper, Mark Thirlwell surveys the changing international trade landscape. The inability of policymakers to deliver the Doha Round has become a powerful symbol of the growing strains on the multilateral trading system

Regional forum can be rescued

Allan Gyngell and Malcolm Cook argue that the APEC leaders' summit in Busan, Korea this weekend will reinforce the importance of APEC and highlight its serious shortcomings. APEC needs to narrow its agenda, strengthen its Secretariat and redefine its purpose if it is to remain at the core of Asia

Football diplomacy

While Australian governments have successfully built pragmatic ties with Asian leaders, a popular dimension to our engagement with Asia has in many respects been missing

Death knell for the old terms of trade

Mark Thirlwell asks how Australia can adjust to the arrival of new global trading powers and the strains on the multilateral trade system. Australian Financial Review, 7 November 2005, p. 25

Bush begins to tread softly

Dr Michael Fullilove of the Lowy Institute argues that the Bush Administration has been forced to moderate its foreign policy. The notion of an 'America rampant', lately lauded by the right and feared by the left, did not survive last year's presidential election. The Age, 7 November 2005, p. 13

The global macroeconomic consequences of a demographic transition

The world is in the midst of a significant demographic transition with important implications for the macroeconomic performance of the global economy. This paper summarises the key features of the current and projected future demographic changes that are likely to have macroeconomic effects.&

Friends, Romans, chardonnay swill!

Dr Michael Fullilove, Program Director for Global Issues at the Lowy Institute, argues that speeches are not dead in this preview of his new book 'Men and Women of Australia! Our Greatest Modern Speeches'. Sydney Morning Herald, 29 October 2005, p. 33; The Age, 29 October 2005, p. 9

The changing structure of the international economy

Mark Thirlwell argues that the fall of the Berlin Wall, together with technological innovation and economic liberalisation contributed to the birth of a new global economy. This new global economy has been distinguished by four characteristics: greater market integration; global reorientation; new

China rising

Mark Thirlwell spoke to the Sydney chapter of the World President’s Organization (WPO) on 20 October. His presentation looked at the implications of China's economic rise for the world economy and for Australia. A copy of his comments is available here

Indonesia needs rules know-how

Lowy Institute Visiting Fellow Stephen Grenville writes about an unexpected way for Australia to make a big difference in Indonesia.Australian Financial Review, 17 October 2005, p. 27

How to save APEC

In 2007, Sydney hosted the most important and expensive diplomatic meeting ever held in Australia, the APEC leaders' meeting

A better sense of balance

Lowy Institute Visiting Fellow Stephen Grenville writes on the risks we face in any realignment of international payments. Australian Financial Review, 14 October 2005, Review p. 3

Pacific Plan puts Howard to the test

In an opinion piece, Hugh White writes on the Pacific Plan for closer co-operation and integration between South Pacific countries. The Age, 10 October 2005A version of this opinion piece was published in the Sydney Morning Herald, 10 0ct0ber 2005, p. 11

The new world

The Executive Director of the Lowy Institute, Allan Gyngell, gave a speech in Melbourne on 6 October 2005 to the Victorian Employers Chamber of Commerce and Industry. He argues that globalisation is one of the principal drivers of change in the world, that is here to stay, that it is developing an

Comrades on and off the pitch

In an opinion piece in today's Australian, Anthony Bubalo explains why Australia's entry into the Asian Football Confederation will revolutionise Australia's relations with Asia.The Australian, 30 September 2005, p. 14

United by name but not by nature, and therein lies the problem

Dr Michael Fullilove, Program Director for Global Issues at the Lowy Institute, reviews the outcomes of this week's World Summit on UN reform in New York. He argues that the final communiqué is no masterpiece, but neither is it the standard UN boilerplate. Sydney Morning Herald, 16 September

Put Tokyo back on the screens

Malcolm Cook and Mark Thirlwell of the Lowy Institute write in an opinion piece that we should not forget that Japan is Asia's unparalleled economic giant and Australia's most important trading partner. Prime Minister Koizumi's landslide election win on Sunday 11 September reflects a more assertive

Korean and Australian views of China

On 4-5 August, the Lowy Institute and the Australia-Korea Foundation jointly hosted a conference looking at the impact of China's economic rise on Australia-Korea relations. South Korea and Australia have been at the forefront of China's impact on the world economy and understandably relations with

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