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Commentary

Opinion pieces by Lowy Institute experts

Defence needs discipline

A new white paper is urgently required, writes Hugh White, visiting fellow at the Lowy Institute. After five eventful years for the Australian Defence Force, the 2000 Defence white paper no longer provides a solid foundation for defence planning. Sydney Morning Herald, 7 March 2005, p. 11. 

A new, new world order?

With rising levels of cross-border economic integration, the emergence of new Asian economic powers and growing strains on the international economic architecture the claim is sometimes made that we are witnessing the emergence of a new international economic order. In this paper in the Lowy

Regional tensions awaken

Dr Alan Dupont, Senior Fellow at the Lowy Institute, argues that Australia must not overlook relations between China and Japan. Dr Dupont is the author of a recent Lowy Institute Paper entitled Unsheathing the Samurai Sword: Japan's Changing Security Policy.Australian Financial Review, 3 March

Royal families

In this week of Royal visits to Australia, it seems appropriate to revisit a proposal the Lowy Institute's program director for the international economy, Mark Thirlwell, put forward last year, for Australia to move with best economic practice by outsourcing its monarchy. This piece first

American foreign policy

Dr Michael Fullilove, Program Director for Global Issues at the Lowy Institute, argues that President Bush should call upon more special diplomatic envoys in his second term. Sydney Morning Herald, 28 February 2005, p. 9. 

Japan flexes its vocal chords

Dr Alan Dupont writes on Japan's changing security policy and some opposing views about its strategic intentions. Dr Dupont is the author of a recent Lowy Institute Paper entitled Unsheathing the Samurai Sword: Japan's Changing Security Policy. Straits Times Interactive, 29 November 2004 

India: the next economic giant. A think tank perspective.

Mark Thirlwell gave a presentation on 3 February at the South Asian Studies School during Asia Pacific Week at the Australian National University. His speech looked at the emergence of India as a new economic power from the perspective of a policy think tank. A copy of his presentation is

Filling the gap in the front line

It will be a big job finding a successor to General Peter Cosgrove as the head of Australia's defence force, writes Hugh White. Sydney Morning Herald, 24 January 2005 p. 11 

Reaching out to Indonesia

Dr Malcolm Cook, Program Director, the Asia Pacific Region, comments on how the Prime Minister's personal leadership of Australia's unprecedented response to Indonesia's tsunami disaster places Australia's relations with Indonesia and Southeast Asia on firmer groundHerald-Sun, 11 January 2005, p. 17

Bargain to end quotas must be kept

Mark Thirlwell argues that backsliding by the United States and the EU on an agreement to end quotas in the international textile and clothing trade would undermine the credibility of the multilateral trading system. Australian Financial Review, 22 December 2004, p. 55

Moment of truth as UN chief confronts his fiercest rival

Dr Michael Fullilove, Program Director, Global Issues, argues that the strength of Kofi Annan's position as Secretary-General is critical to the success of the reform agenda recommended by the High-level Panel on Threats, Challenges and Change. Sydney Morning Herald, 16 December 2004, p. 19

Poll result offers the chance for calm

Dr Malcolm Cook, Program Director, the Asia Pacific Region, comments on how Taiwan's weekend elections slowed Taiwan's momentum towards formal independence and could lead to a new cross-strait detente. The Australian 14 December 2004, p. 13

A new India in a new global economy?

Mark Thirlwell gave a presentation at the 5th India Update Seminar at the University of Canberra on 24 November. His presentation looked at the emergence of India as a major new player in the international environment, and the implications for the global economy. A copy of his speech is available

The Asian side of the coin

Stephen Grenville looks at the inevitable adjustment of the US current account deficit from the Asian point of view. Australian Financial Review, 22 November 2004, p. 23

Let help Japan play Asian role

Tokyo's muscular outlook won't mark a return to a militaristic past, writes Dr Alan Dupont. Dr Dupont is the author of a new Lowy Institute Paper entitled: Unsheathing the Samurai Sword: Japan's Changing Security Policy. The Australian, 15 November 2004, p. 9

Early signs for SBY less than promising

In this opinion piece, Dr Malcolm Cook, program director Asia and the Pacific, looks at the challenges Indonesia's opposition-controlled parliament pose for Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono (SBY), Indonesia's new president. SBY's resounding win raised great hopes for better relations with Australia and a

Unfinished business

Stephen Grenville reviews "Why globalisation works", by Martin Wolf (Yale University Press, 2004). Australian Financial Review, 12 November 2004, Review p. 5

Arafat death wouldn't solve main problem

Anthony Bubalo, research fellow at the Lowy Institute, assesses the implications of Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat's looming death on both the internal Palestinian situation and efforts to end the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.Australian Financial Review, 8 November 2004, p. 63

Supporting democratic Indonesia: British and European options

Writing for the Foreign Policy Centre in London, Malcolm Cook, program director Asia & the Pacific, looks at the biggest challenges facing Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono's new administration. SBY's impressive win raised expectations, but opposition control of the parliament (DPR) has already stirred

Military might is right, whoever is elected

Dr Michael Fullilove, program director, global issues discusses the foreign policy implications of the 2 November presidential election, for the world and Australia. Sydney Morning Herald, 27 October 2004, p. 13

Book review: Regionalism in the New Asia-Pacific Order

Dr Alan Dupont reviews Regionalism in the New Asia-Pacific Order: The Political Economy of the Asia-Pacific Region, Volume II, by Joseph Camilleri (Cheltenham, Edward Elgar, 2003).This review was published in Global Change, Peace & Security, Volume 16, Number 3, October 2004

G7 should step aside for more representative body

Mark Thirlwell and Malcolm Cook argue that China's recent inclusion in the G7 should not be a one-off expansion. It should be the first step in the replacement of the G7 by its more representative progeny, the G20, which includes Australia.Australian Financial Review, 29 September 2004, p.63

Step back and take a look at the smaller picture

Anthony Bubalo and Michael Fullilove argue that Australia's response to the Jakarta embassy bombing should not emphasise global considerations at the expense of regional factors.Sydney Morning Herald, 11 September 2004

A currency union is not what Asia needs

Stephen Grenville writes on possible models for economic integration in Asia, and suggests that convergence of economic rules would be more useful than currency union. Financial Times, 30 August 2004, p. 17

Golden straitjackets can chafe

Trade agreements, such as the Australia-US Free Trade Agreement, are usually evaluated in terms of their success in reducing tariffs and other barriers to market access. These negotiations, however, present a more important opportunity - to improve the rules which govern international economic

Greenspan is running out of buttons to push

Peter Hartcher, Visiting Fellow at the Lowy Institute, writes in the Financial Times on Alan Greenspan, interest rates and the US economy. He argues that recent feeble job data raise the crucial question of whether America's economic recovery can bear the strain of anything even approaching a

Pointing in the right direction

Malcolm Cook, Program Director Asia and the Pacific, reviews Mark Berger's book The Battle for Asia: From Decolonization to Globalization. Australian Book Review, August 2004, pp. 36-37

Lesson in the limits of power

Lowy Institute Visiting Fellow Owen Harries suggests that there are parallels between the Iraq war and the Suez crisis of 1956, and that the latter offers useful pointers on superpower behaviour. The Australian, Monday 2 August 2004, p. 9

Flaws in climate-change research need fixing

Professor McKibbin, drawing on a recent Lowy Institute Working Paper, argues that there are a number of problems in the Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change, Special Report on Emission Scenarios that forms the basis of many longer term climate predictions

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